A hypothesis for the number of key drops from Glyph Hacks on P1
How many keys drop during a hack? It seems difficult to get accurate data for this simple question, especially if you ask how many keys drop as bonus via Glyph hack.
I tried to figure out the effect of faction, speed bonus and difference in normal drops to bonus drops in an experiment. You can find the details on my blog - DrThod.com - unfortunately I can't yet link here in the forum. Maybe someone else can link the article directly in the comment section.
Findings:
Hypothesis 1:
The chance for a key drop is 75% for a P1 hack. The chance is the same for N, ENL, RES.
The 5-95% interval for the data is 73.7-79.2% - so other values between 73%-80% are possible. This seems in agreement with comments I found in various discussions about the topic.
Hypothesis 2:
The chance for a key drop for the glyph hack at a P1 is 25% x (1 + total hack bonus).
This means you have a 36% chance for a very slow hack with 15% speed bonus (25% 1.43) and a 56% chance for a fast hack with 95% speed bonus (25% 2.23). This is a new hypothesis and I haven't found anyone yet describing how key drops work during glyph hack.
It is clear from the data that you get less keys from the bonus hack compared to a normal hack (0.432 keys vs 0.765 keys). It also seems clear that you get more keys for fast hacks (0.530 keys) vs slow hacks (0.332 keys).
The value of 25% value was worked out using the data backwards. Assuming 0.198 extra keys (average fast hacks - slow hack) = 79,6% (average difference between fast and slow hacks) yields 24.9% as the hypothetical 100% value on which the bonus is based upon.
Hypothesis 2 would benefit from more data to confirm neutral fast hacks and opposing faction slow hacks.
The overall analysis is based on >100 hacks each for slow/fast N/ENL/RES for a total of 1301 data points.
Detailed data and discussion on my blog.
Comments
Thanks for the information!
Have you tested how speed can affect overall hack output?
There is an earlier article that’s looks into hack output and gives percentages depending on level. Only 1-7 a and i lacked data level 8 a time the time
i have now level 2 data but need to find W in a busy life’s to publish it